Sunday, June 1, 2003

Cyber Revolution 2003.6.X First appearance

So,the agenda that how the IT revolution will change society's way of life from now on has arrived intense argument.
Amidst tumultuous intense argument….
Because I'm a chicken,I kept silent and was listening.
Summary of it below.

(1) Destroying middle management positions
IT revolution that compares with even the former industrial revolution.
In America,how to proceed work have changed big.
As a result,About 4 million intermediate managers seems to have became unnecessary.
Middle management positions that had played a role as a pipe between the site and the head office.
It became an unnecessary post due to all employees being able to share information by internal-mail and intranet.
It is conceivable that such movements will accelerate in Japan too.From now on.

(2) Deflation pressure
It seems that global deflation had occurred even in the once industrial revolution by steam engine and spinning machine.
Because the way of transporting by a horse until then changed to the steam locomotive,logistics costs dramatically lowered And Deflationary pressures have been applied.
In addition,people typified by horses lost their jobs,
"We will destroy such a machine"
A phenomenon called a laddite movement occurred.
It was machine-breakdown movement.
Even in the past industrial revolution,at the beginning,
Just by replaced things that had been doing until then to the a steam engine or machine.
It seems that didn't happened easily unexpected new industry like creating jobs.

In the IT revolution too,at currently,
Just only by substituted the role that magazines, newspapers, mini-communication-magazines had at before.
It seems that unexpected new industry have not came out.
Rather,When situation that sooner or later information will flow free on the internet came to coming,this is also deflationary pressure.
Rental video store,map shop,newspaper agency,music software company, movie software company ...... etc.
Many industries are under pressure to change the billing system..
It's still salvation what doesn't happen the laddite movement in the IT revolution.

(3) Changes in people's mentality,democratization of information
In the past industrial revolution,It is said that steam locomotive changed people's mentality and geographical concept of until then.
The steam locomotive made France one country,one culture.
Until then,Despite France has been politically unified,It seems that it was an aggregate of self-contained areas.

The development of technology and infrastructure change people's consciousness.
 If we get on the plane even once,Even if is said that "Angels lives above a cloud" or "There are Gods of lightning strike above the clouds",We will not be able to imagine it.

I think that a change is occurring gradually to people's consciousness in also the IT revolution.
I think like that authority of mass media are becoming weak gradually due to freedom of sending on the internet or the acquisition of borderless information by search engine.
Mass media was called the fourth power just next to judicial, legislative, administrative once.
If it was written that this person is the suspect,on TV or newspaper,Even if he is innocent,He became have to leave the company or relatives became has feeling ashamed. There were many such cases.
Such a composition has collapsed with the development of IT technology.
Even if he is suspected by the mass media,He can do refutation on the Internet,And,We can also do support movement.
And,Compared to the concept of TV viewing ratio,It is becoming to be able to measure people's interests on the form of the number of accesses on the Internet.
It is conceivable that democratization of information is taking place in that respect.

(4) Place-less,Invalidation of administrative guidance and market protection policy
In the once industrial revolution,A large city was formed due to made possible to bring people to work-place.
In the IT revolution,the contrary,It made possible to bring work to place where people are located.
If there are laptop computer and P.H.S.,We can do job regardless of whether at home,at a coffee shop or a travel destination.
And further,Yahoo auctions or Amazon marketplace are good examples,
If there are the personal computer and a line,business will be established towards the world regardless of the living place.
Once,a town's secondhand bookstore could done target only the neighbors.
If competing stores are not nearby,The bookstore also had been able to do price hike.
However,Things of that kind will be impossible due to open a second-hand bookstore on the Internet.
In the past,Location requirement which were important in any business are becoming less important.
If transactions on the Internet spreads to every sale and purchase not limited to books and CDs,The roles of administrative guidance and market protection that the Japanese government after the war had been held will invalidate.
Rather,it is may going to be disturbing.

Above is a summary of hot debate.
There are both negative aspects and positive aspects,
Actually,No one may knows how the IT revolution will change society's way of life in the future.
However,It is a tremendous change should also be called "cyber revolution".
I think that thinking and discussing is not a waste.



The spirit of the entrepreneur 2003.6.X First appearance

Fail ten times in the twenties!

"What is it! What? "
I was surprised.
"Rather than do success ten times in the twenties,Do failure ten times in the twenties."
What the hell….
If I experience unemployment four times in the twenties,and experience bankruptcy three times,and take a suicide attempt twice,and further experience self-insolvent once….
Is he saying that you should experience failure 10 times in total as described above….
Besides,failing ten times in the twenties means to fail once a year!
What hell….
I thought that an entrepreneur's speaking is different from school teachers indeed.

I came a certain drinking shop(its name Shin-Tera) at Shin-tera in Sendai station east exit.
I became acquainted with Mr. S, a entrepreneur,in that shop.
Then,He gave a sermon me suddenly.
"Fail ten times in the twenties."
Because I'm a chicken,I was not able to dispute.
And,I was just nodding Mr. S's sermon.

In modern times,what is failure….
In Japan before 1998,Speaking of unemployment,
It was a humiliating concept for salaried workers.
It was something like people are not able to tell to someone else a bit.
There was also a word called fired(so-called KUBI in Japanese).
It is a word that like deny all his personality,in spite of the just only lost his job.
Job-hopper was dangerous person,and There was also expression that If you don't work for a long term in one place,your resume become dirty.
However,In recently,It began to be said that company's life span is thirty years etc.
As a result,It became obvious that the person who works there would lives longer more than the company.
Furthermore,When began to be whispered that the world where contract workers occupy 40% of society will be reality soon etc,Unemployment become a passing ritual that would occurs twice or three times in a lifetime.
Then,I feel like that unemployment was no longer thing that like people are not able to tell others at least.

Also,Once,Speaking of bankruptcy,It was equivalent to the death penalty for business owners.It was miserable thing that like lose wealth, trust, honor and become can not dealings even the bank.
When I was a child,If a business owner failed in his business,He had to get away from home with the whole family during night.

Until Just a little while ago,Japan was a society where risk avoidance type or a society where failure is unforgivable.
There was also a word that rail was laid by society.
"If you are boarding on the rail that was laid by society while listen carefully to what parents and teachers say,you will are stable for lifetime."
Children who grew up while receive such a education will have not venture spirit.
Although,The government cries out "Start venture company! young people! "by now.

Fail ten times in the twenties!
Mr. S, a entrepreneur who got acquainted at Shin-Tera certainly said so.
He also said that shed urine of blood.
Urine of blood…
Urine of blood…
I wonder if shed urine of blood!?
If I failed ten times in the the twenties while shedding hematuria,Would I am possible to be a entrepreneur like Mr. S.
I feel like that I don't want to become a entrepreneur by do act like a such extent.
I guess that starting up a venture company is kind of risky like that.
And,I also thought that must become a society which such people are respected.
And,to the society which the resurrection of losers is permitted.

Anyway,Safety is first,He will not fail,but he will not also succeed.
He is doing both work and play in moderation.And,He is going to Universal Studios Japan in Golden Week.
Perhaps,Should will end the era when such a person looks down people who are struggling while taking risks.

Fail ten times in the twenties while shedding hematuria......The spirit of the entrepreneur.



Sports that rules change in the middle of the game!? First released in 2003.6.X

Sports that rules change in the middle of the game.

I think that there are no such sports perhaps.
However,The bankers' heads mourn that way recently.
The other day, I wrote a essay.
Because I got angry due to public fund injection to a certain bank.
But,I reconsidered that should not only criticize unilaterally.
The thinking from the other's standpoint is the golden rule of mankind.

I wonder if rules of sports have changed how.
According to one book,It seems that Corporate accounting also stops the Japanese style and introduce international accounting standard in the economic activities to globalize.
Perhaps,This is what bank heads say that the rule changed in the middle of the game.
Is not it?
No,Probably,It is it.
Surely,It is this.Absolutely.

When the rule is changed from conventional Japanese accounting to international accounting standard,How bank management will become painful….

It seems difficult introduction of market value accounting standard.
Previously,Japanese banks had accounted lands or shares at the price of time of acquisition.
But,Suddenly,It became "account on the market price or the current price".
From the price of time of acquisition to the current market price.

If situation became such state,The assets of land that would have been soaring at the time of acquisition under the land-myth will diminish at a stroke by accounting.
And,Even if banks don't buy or sell shares actually,Banks will have to account a deficit in accounting at the time of stock price of TSE declined.

If it is changed to the such accounting standard suddenly in the current economic situation,There is only way that become deficit in accounting. 
I understood.So,The bankers' heads are mourning "the sport that rules will change in the middle of a game".

When we are playing a soccer match,We caught up to score of 3: 2 at the end of a tangled and entangled battle.
Despite,The referee suddenly sound a whistle in the latter half 25 minutes,and if he said that I will calculate one goal as three points from now on,Surely both the players and the director will get angry.
I can understand a little also the feelings of the bankers' heads.

However,I wonder if most people has such a feeling in the present Japan.
It was good thing to swear loyalty to the company in the past.
Despite,I think that there are horribly many people who worry due to was said suddenly that please don't depend on the company from now on.

Currently,both the world and Japan are in a big change.
According to Dr. Drucker(authority in world of business books),It is anticipated that this change will continue for more than 10 years.
When I think whether this confusion continues until 2013,Mind becomes heavy.

~ I bought flowers in my neighborhood flower shop today.
Because important guest will come.
According to a clerk's story,There are many flowers that are imported from Taiwan and Singapore at recently.But,shelf life is not so good due to deteriorate during transport.
Then,I was surprised that wonder if Ikebana also is imported.
Apparently,Globalization seems to be a fact that can't stop.
I hope that banker's heads also will pass through this difficult situation.





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